Press Releases of Monday, 15 May 2023

Source: EcoCapital Investment Management Ltd

What effect would the IMF's first tranche of funding have on the Ghanaian economy in 2023?

Theodore Delali Agbezuke Theodore Delali Agbezuke

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) anticipates giving Ghana its first payment in May 2023 to the tune of $600 million. This support comes from an IMF bailout deal worth $1.5 billion that Ghana approved in April 2022.

In 2023, the Ghanaian economy is projected to be significantly impacted by this anticipated IMF program. This will have a tremendous impact on strengthening Ghana's weakening foreign exchange holdings and is expected to facilitate business imports of goods and services while aiding with the stabilization of the local currency. Additionally, this support will assist Ghana in lowering its budget deficit and strengthening the viability of its debt.

In addition to the direct economic gains, this program will spur investor confidence in the country. Increased foreign direct investment is an expected outcome that could support economic growth and expansion.

The money is targeted at improving debt sustainability, achieving budget deficit reduction, and economic stabilization. This will improve the business and investment climate and can result in higher economic growth.

The IMF monies are anticipated to have the following specific effects on the Ghanaian economy:

1. Enhanced foreign reserves: The IMF funding will assist in enhancing Ghana's deteriorating foreign reserves. This would facilitate business imports of goods and services while aiding with the stabilization of the local currency.

2. Lower budget deficit: The IMF funds will assist Ghana in lowering its budget deficit. This will increase Ghana's ability to sustain its debt and ease access to global financial markets.

3. Greater debt sustainability: The likelihood of Ghana's debt default recurring will be ameliorated as a result of this program. The IMF credit facility will contribute to the improvement of the country’s debt sustainability status.

4. Boosted investor confidence: The IMF funds are anticipated to have a snowballing effect on Ghanaian investor confidence. Increased foreign direct investment is an expected outcome, and may go a long way to support economic growth by stabilizing the foreign exchange rates.

The research department of EcoCapital Investment Management Ltd anticipates that the Ghanaian economy will immensely benefit from the program. The allocated resource is expected to support economic stability, lower the budget deficit, enhance debt sustainability, and boost investor confidence. Overall, this has the potential on putting the economy in an upward economic growth trajectory.